Orl. Pride (K) 1-1 Pachuca (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONK, 16 Oct 2025

📅16/10/2025 · 🕒03:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
19%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under
40%
2.18
Over
60%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
62%
1.61
No
38%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1
16%
2-3
41%
4-5
33%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
3%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
5%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
53%
+4.2pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.1pp
19%
Away Win
24%
-4.4pp
40%
Under 2.5
42%
-2.5pp
60%
Over 2.5
58%
+2.5pp
62%
BTTS Yes
58%
+4.2pp
38%
BTTS No
42%
-4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Orl. Pride (K) EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Pachuca (K) EU Bookmakers 27%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -32% / -32%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +104%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
349 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 0.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Orl. Pride (K)
1-1
AWAY Pachuca (K)
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Orl. Pride (K) vs Pachuca (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Orl. Pride (K) and Pachuca (K) shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Orl. Pride (K) at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, both teams to score (62%) landed while over 2.5 goals (60%) missed.

On the day, Orl. Pride (K) had 49% of the ball to Pachuca (K)'s 51%, shots finished 12-15.

What was the final score of Orl. Pride (K) vs Pachuca (K)?

Orl. Pride (K) 1-1 Pachuca (K) in the CONK on 16/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orl. Pride (K) vs Pachuca (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Orl. Pride (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Orl. Pride (K) 57%, draw 24%, Pachuca (K) 19%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Orl. Pride (K)), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Orl. Pride (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
CONK More CONK
16 Oct 2025
01:15 Washington Spirit (K) vs Monterrey (K) Analysis →