Washington Spirit (K) 4-0 Monterrey (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONK, 16 Oct 2025

📅16/10/2025 · 🕒01:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
62%
1.43
Draw
19%
4.19
Away
19%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under
46%
1.95
Over
54%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.03
No
49%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
45%
4-5
21%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
29%
X/2
3%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Washington Spirit (K) win — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
66%
-4.0pp
19%
Draw
21%
-2.3pp
19%
Away Win
13%
+6.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
45%
+5.8pp
49%
BTTS No
55%
-5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Washington Spirit (K) EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Monterrey (K) EU Bookmakers 16%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +150%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
349 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
POST-MATCH Washington Spirit (K) vs Monterrey (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Washington Spirit (K) swept aside Monterrey (K) 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Washington Spirit (K) as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

What was the final score of Washington Spirit (K) vs Monterrey (K)?

Washington Spirit (K) 4-0 Monterrey (K) in the CONK on 16/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Washington Spirit (K) vs Monterrey (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Washington Spirit (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Washington Spirit (K) 62%, draw 19%, Monterrey (K) 19%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Washington Spirit (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Washington Spirit (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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