Chelsea (K) 2-0 Manchester City (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Women's Premier League, 16 Nov 2024

📅16/11/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.96
Draw
18%
3.35
Away
37%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.97
Over 2.5
55%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
4%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
47%
-1.2pp
18%
Draw
26%
-8.4pp
37%
Away Win
27%
+9.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
47%
-2.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
53%
+2.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.0pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chelsea (K) EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Manchester City (K) EU Bookmakers 31%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +38% / +38%
2.39/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/2.05
+4% / +58% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / +47%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
330 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 80%
35.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.7
19.9 Crosses 12.6
1.5 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chelsea (K)
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Manchester City (K)
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.43 xG 1.26
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
334 Passes 362
77% Pass Accuracy 79%
29 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.03.2024 Manchester City (K) Manchester City (K) 0-1 HT 0-1 Chelsea (K) Chelsea (K) İNKLK
16.02.2024 Chelsea (K) Chelsea (K) 0-1 HT 0-1 Manchester City (K) Manchester City (K) İNKPL
08.12.2019 Chelsea (K) Chelsea (K) 2-1 HT 0-0 Manchester City (K) Manchester City (K) İNKPL
14.04.2019 Manchester City (K) Manchester City (K) 1-0 Chelsea (K) Chelsea (K) İNKFAK
10.02.2019 Manchester City (K) Manchester City (K) 2-2 HT 2-0 Chelsea (K) Chelsea (K) İNKPL
09.09.2018 Chelsea (K) Chelsea (K) 0-0 HT 0-0 Manchester City (K) Manchester City (K) İNKPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chelsea (K)
2-0
AWAY Manchester City (K)
1.05 xG 0.72
37% Ball Possession 63%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
258 Passes 496
78% Pass Accuracy 85%
30 Box Touches 16
13 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Chelsea (K) vs Manchester City (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chelsea (K) beat Manchester City (K) 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Chelsea (K) as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Chelsea (K) had 37% of the ball to Manchester City (K)'s 63%, shots finished 15-8, expected goals 1.05 to 0.72.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Chelsea (K) and 0.83 for Manchester City (K).

What was the final score of Chelsea (K) vs Manchester City (K)?

Chelsea (K) 2-0 Manchester City (K) in the England - Women's Premier League on 16/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chelsea (K) vs Manchester City (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chelsea (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Chelsea (K) 46%, draw 18%, Manchester City (K) 37%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chelsea (K)) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chelsea (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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