Algeciras 1-1 Real Murcia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 16 Nov 2024

📅16/11/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.57
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
36%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.45
Over 2.5
41%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.13
No
54%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.17
2-3 Goals
43%
1.83
4-5 Goals
18%
5.95
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
35%
-0.5pp
30%
Draw
30%
-0.9pp
36%
Away Win
34%
+1.4pp
59%
Under 2.5
65%
-6.4pp
41%
Over 2.5
35%
+6.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
43%
+3.2pp
54%
BTTS No
57%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Algeciras EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Murcia EU Bookmakers 38%
+2% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +23%
1.24/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/0.76
+8% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +40%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
416 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Algeciras
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Real Murcia
0.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.04.2024 Algeciras Algeciras 0-1 HT 0-1 Real Murcia Real Murcia İS3
15.10.2023 Real Murcia Real Murcia 1-0 HT 1-0 Algeciras Algeciras İS3
19.01.2020 Algeciras Algeciras 0-1 HT 0-1 Real Murcia Real Murcia İS3
01.09.2019 Real Murcia Real Murcia 1-1 HT 1-1 Algeciras Algeciras İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Algeciras
1-1
AWAY Real Murcia
57% Ball Possession 43%
8 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Algeciras vs Real Murcia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Algeciras and Real Murcia shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 30% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Algeciras had 57% of the ball to Real Murcia's 43%, shots finished 8-6.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Real Murcia led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.25 goals for Algeciras and 1.00 for Real Murcia.

What was the final score of Algeciras vs Real Murcia?

Algeciras 1-1 Real Murcia in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 16/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Algeciras vs Real Murcia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Real Murcia win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Algeciras 35%, draw 30%, Real Murcia 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Real Murcia), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Real Murcia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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