Algeciras 0-1 Real Murcia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.27
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.45
Over 2.5
40%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.19
No
56%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.06
2-3 Goals
39%
1.83
4-5 Goals
15%
6.29
6+ Goals
10%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
9%
1/X
12%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
40%
-0.7pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.5pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
65%
-4.9pp
40%
Over 2.5
35%
+4.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.9pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Algeciras EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Murcia EU Bookmakers 33%
+4% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +11%
1.31/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/0.89
+5% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +24%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
274 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Algeciras
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Real Murcia
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.10.2023 Real Murcia Real Murcia 1-0 HT 1-0 Algeciras Algeciras İS3
19.01.2020 Algeciras Algeciras 0-1 HT 0-1 Real Murcia Real Murcia İS3
01.09.2019 Real Murcia Real Murcia 1-1 HT 1-1 Algeciras Algeciras İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Algeciras
0-1
AWAY Real Murcia
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 5
1 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Algeciras vs Real Murcia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Murcia nicked a narrow win over Algeciras 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 29% / 32% — and on the day Real Murcia made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Algeciras had 50% of the ball to Real Murcia's 50%, shots finished 8-5.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Real Murcia led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Algeciras and 1.00 for Real Murcia.

What was the final score of Algeciras vs Real Murcia?

Algeciras 0-1 Real Murcia in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Algeciras vs Real Murcia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Algeciras win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Algeciras 39%, draw 29%, Real Murcia 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Algeciras) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Algeciras) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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