UD Ibiza 4-3 Melilla — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.37
Draw
26%
4.19
Away
21%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.71
Over 2.5
45%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.51
No
53%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.74
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.28
6+ Goals
10%
21.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
68%
-15.6pp
26%
Draw
20%
+6.1pp
21%
Away Win
12%
+9.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
55%
+0.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
45%
-0.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
36%
+11.3pp
53%
BTTS No
64%
-11.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UD Ibiza EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Melilla EU Bookmakers 15%
+2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -4%
2.06/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.49/2.16
+17% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / -22%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
419 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UD Ibiza
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Melilla
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
19.11.2023 Melilla Melilla 0-3 HT 0-1 UD Ibiza UD Ibiza İS3
01.12.2019 UD Ibiza UD Ibiza 3-1 HT 2-0 Melilla Melilla İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UD Ibiza
4-3
AWAY Melilla
62% Ball Possession 38%
25 Total Shots 10
15 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH UD Ibiza vs Melilla
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UD Ibiza squeezed past Melilla 4-3. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had UD Ibiza as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, UD Ibiza had 62% of the ball to Melilla's 38%, shots finished 25-10.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, UD Ibiza had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for UD Ibiza and 0.50 for Melilla.

What was the final score of UD Ibiza vs Melilla?

UD Ibiza 4-3 Melilla in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UD Ibiza vs Melilla?

Before kick-off our model rated a UD Ibiza win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split UD Ibiza 52%, draw 26%, Melilla 21%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (UD Ibiza) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (UD Ibiza) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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