Gimnastic Tarragona 1-0 Fuenlabrada — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
25%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.51
Over 2.5
40%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.33
No
59%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.21
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
18%
5.61
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
12%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
54%
-4.9pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.7pp
25%
Away Win
20%
+5.4pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.0pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.0pp
41%
BTTS Yes
39%
+2.1pp
59%
BTTS No
61%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimnastic Tarragona EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Fuenlabrada EU Bookmakers 22%
+1% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -8%
1.60/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.53/1.48
-1% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / -6%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
301 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
27.0 Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimnastic Tarragona
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Fuenlabrada
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
15.10.2023 Fuenlabrada Fuenlabrada 2-1 HT 0-0 Gimnastic Tarragona Gimnastic Tarragona İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gimnastic Tarragona
1-0
AWAY Fuenlabrada
40% Ball Possession 60%
4 Total Shots 6
1 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gimnastic Tarragona vs Fuenlabrada
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimnastic Tarragona squeezed past Fuenlabrada 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Gimnastic Tarragona as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Gimnastic Tarragona had 40% of the ball to Fuenlabrada's 60%, shots finished 4-6.

What was the final score of Gimnastic Tarragona vs Fuenlabrada?

Gimnastic Tarragona 1-0 Fuenlabrada in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimnastic Tarragona vs Fuenlabrada?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gimnastic Tarragona win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Gimnastic Tarragona 49%, draw 26%, Fuenlabrada 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gimnastic Tarragona), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gimnastic Tarragona) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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