Lugo 0-1 Tarazona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.09
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
27%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.45
Over 2.5
39%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.19
No
59%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.08
2-3 Goals
39%
1.83
4-5 Goals
18%
6.16
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
44%
+0.6pp
28%
Draw
30%
-2.2pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+1.8pp
61%
Under 2.5
65%
-4.5pp
39%
Over 2.5
35%
+4.5pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-0.5pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lugo EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Tarazona EU Bookmakers 29%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
1.27/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/1.50
-6% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / -18%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
260 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
10.0 Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lugo
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Tarazona
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
8 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 4
13.01.2024 Tarazona Tarazona 1-0 HT 1-0 Lugo Lugo İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lugo
0-1
AWAY Tarazona
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Lugo vs Tarazona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tarazona squeezed past Lugo 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Lugo at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Lugo had 56% of the ball to Tarazona's 44%, shots finished 12-7.

What was the final score of Lugo vs Tarazona?

Lugo 0-1 Tarazona in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lugo vs Tarazona?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lugo win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Lugo 44%, draw 28%, Tarazona 27%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Lugo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lugo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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