Tarazona 1-0 Lugo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 13 Jan 2024

📅13/01/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.94
Draw
26%
2.88
Away
39%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.45
Over 2.5
40%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.19
No
57%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
1.99
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
6.03
6+ Goals
7%
44.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
31%
+4.8pp
26%
Draw
31%
-5.7pp
39%
Away Win
38%
+0.8pp
60%
Under 2.5
65%
-5.4pp
40%
Over 2.5
35%
+5.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.8pp
57%
BTTS No
58%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tarazona EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Lugo EU Bookmakers 42%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
0.72/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/0.66
-33% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +58%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
262 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.7
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tarazona
1-0
AWAY Lugo
43% Ball Possession 57%
6 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Tarazona vs Lugo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tarazona nicked a narrow win over Lugo 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 26% / 39% — and on the day Tarazona made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Tarazona had 43% of the ball to Lugo's 57%, shots finished 6-8.

What was the final score of Tarazona vs Lugo?

Tarazona 1-0 Lugo in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tarazona vs Lugo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lugo win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Tarazona 35%, draw 26%, Lugo 39%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Lugo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lugo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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