San Fernando 1-0 Atletico Sanluqueno — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 13 Jan 2024

📅13/01/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.02
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
30%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.71
Over 2.5
39%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.9
No
56%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
33%
2.61
2-3 Goals
41%
1.71
4-5 Goals
19%
4.15
6+ Goals
7%
20.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.61 — our 33% vs market 30.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
46%
-5.2pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.1pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+3.0pp
61%
Under 2.5
55%
+6.5pp
39%
Over 2.5
45%
-6.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.4pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Fernando EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Sanluqueno EU Bookmakers 31%
-5% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -3%
1.50/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/1.06
+10% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +18%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
426 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Fernando
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Atletico Sanluqueno
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.04.2022 Atletico Sanluqueno Atletico Sanluqueno 1-0 HT 1-0 San Fernando San Fernando İS3
20.11.2021 San Fernando San Fernando 3-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Sanluqueno Atletico Sanluqueno İS3
31.01.2021 San Fernando San Fernando 2-0 HT 2-0 Atletico Sanluqueno Atletico Sanluqueno İS3
01.11.2020 Atletico Sanluqueno Atletico Sanluqueno 1-3 HT 0-1 San Fernando San Fernando İS3
15.12.2019 Atletico Sanluqueno Atletico Sanluqueno 0-0 HT 0-0 San Fernando San Fernando İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME San Fernando
1-0
AWAY Atletico Sanluqueno
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH San Fernando vs Atletico Sanluqueno
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Fernando edged past Atletico Sanluqueno 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 29% / 30% — and on the day San Fernando made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, San Fernando had 46% of the ball to Atletico Sanluqueno's 54%, shots finished 10-11.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, San Fernando had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for San Fernando and 0.60 for Atletico Sanluqueno.

What was the final score of San Fernando vs Atletico Sanluqueno?

San Fernando 1-0 Atletico Sanluqueno in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Fernando vs Atletico Sanluqueno?

Before kick-off our model rated a San Fernando win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split San Fernando 40%, draw 29%, Atletico Sanluqueno 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (San Fernando), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (San Fernando) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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