CD Castellon 2-1 Algeciras — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 13 Jan 2024

📅13/01/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.32
Draw
20%
4.62
Away
17%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.03
Over 2.5
48%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.19
No
61%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.49
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
26%
3.2
6+ Goals
9%
11.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.49 — our 26% vs market 22.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
71%
-8.5pp
20%
Draw
18%
+2.1pp
17%
Away Win
11%
+6.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
45%
+6.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
55%
-6.2pp
39%
BTTS Yes
42%
-2.2pp
61%
BTTS No
58%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Castellon EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Algeciras EU Bookmakers 14%
+2% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -16%
2.12/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.59/1.90
+24% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -12%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
363 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Castellon
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Algeciras
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 6
6 Yellow Cards 2
29.04.2022 CD Castellon CD Castellon 1-0 HT 0-0 Algeciras Algeciras İS3
07.11.2021 Algeciras Algeciras 0-0 HT 0-0 CD Castellon CD Castellon İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CD Castellon
2-1
AWAY Algeciras
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH CD Castellon vs Algeciras
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Castellon edged past Algeciras 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had CD Castellon as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, CD Castellon had 55% of the ball to Algeciras's 45%, shots finished 12-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, CD Castellon had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for CD Castellon and 0.00 for Algeciras.

What was the final score of CD Castellon vs Algeciras?

CD Castellon 2-1 Algeciras in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Castellon vs Algeciras?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Castellon win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split CD Castellon 63%, draw 20%, Algeciras 17%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CD Castellon) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CD Castellon) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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