Real Madrid II 1-1 UD Ibiza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 13 Jan 2024

📅13/01/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
3.29
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
38%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.75
Over 2.5
47%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.73
2-3 Goals
41%
1.71
4-5 Goals
20%
3.96
6+ Goals
7%
18.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.73 — our 32% vs market 29.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
11%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
27%
+8.7pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.7pp
39%
Away Win
46%
-7.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
53%
-0.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
47%
+0.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.1pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Madrid II EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY UD Ibiza EU Bookmakers 49%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +11%
1.26/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/0.47
+24% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +112%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
260 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Madrid II
0W-1D-1L
AWAY UD Ibiza
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 9
4 Yellow Cards 2
16.05.2021 UD Ibiza UD Ibiza 0-0 HT 0-0 Real Madrid II Real Madrid II İS3
10.11.2019 Real Madrid II Real Madrid II 1-2 HT 1-1 UD Ibiza UD Ibiza İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Madrid II
1-1
AWAY UD Ibiza
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Real Madrid II vs UD Ibiza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Madrid II and UD Ibiza shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 26% / 39% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Real Madrid II had 47% of the ball to UD Ibiza's 53%, shots finished 13-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, UD Ibiza led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Real Madrid II and 1.00 for UD Ibiza.

What was the final score of Real Madrid II vs UD Ibiza?

Real Madrid II 1-1 UD Ibiza in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Madrid II vs UD Ibiza?

Before kick-off our model rated an UD Ibiza win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Real Madrid II 36%, draw 26%, UD Ibiza 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (UD Ibiza), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (UD Ibiza) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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