Real Madrid (K) 0-4 Barcelona (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar, 16 Nov 2024

📅16/11/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
9.57
Draw
33%
5.71
Away
33%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.63
Over 2.5
50%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
7%
+26.0pp
33%
Draw
14%
+19.3pp
33%
Away Win
79%
-45.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
34%
+15.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
66%
-15.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.3pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Madrid (K) EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Barcelona (K) EU Bookmakers 84%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
0.11/4.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.81/0.46
-100% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +66% / -6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
6.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 53.5
11.0 Crosses 31.1
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Madrid (K)
0W-0D-4L
AWAY Barcelona (K)
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 3.75
0.88 xG 3.60
35% Ball Possession 65%
4 Total Shots 21
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
219 Passes 555
74% Pass Accuracy 87%
8 Box Touches 38
9 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.03.2024 Real Madrid (K) Real Madrid (K) 0-3 HT 0-1 Barcelona (K) Barcelona (K) İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
17.01.2024 Barcelona (K) Barcelona (K) 4-0 HT 3-0 Real Madrid (K) Real Madrid (K) İSKSK
30.03.2022 Barcelona (K) Barcelona (K) 5-2 HT 1-1 Real Madrid (K) Real Madrid (K) ŞMP-K
22.03.2022 Real Madrid (K) Real Madrid (K) 1-3 HT 1-0 Barcelona (K) Barcelona (K) ŞMP-K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Madrid (K)
0-4
AWAY Barcelona (K)
0.39 xG 1.96
27% Ball Possession 73%
6 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 9
1 Corners 13
199 Passes 667
72% Pass Accuracy 89%
9 Box Touches 46
6 Crosses 23
POST-MATCH Real Madrid (K) vs Barcelona (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barcelona (K) swept aside Real Madrid (K) 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 33% / 33% — and on the day Barcelona (K) made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Real Madrid (K) had 27% of the ball to Barcelona (K)'s 73%, shots finished 6-20, expected goals 0.39 to 1.96.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Barcelona (K) led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Real Madrid (K) and 3.75 for Barcelona (K).

What was the final score of Real Madrid (K) vs Barcelona (K)?

Real Madrid (K) 0-4 Barcelona (K) in the İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar on 16/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Madrid (K) vs Barcelona (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Madrid (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Real Madrid (K) 33%, draw 33%, Barcelona (K) 33%. The final score 0-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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