Real Madrid (K) 0-3 Barcelona (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar, 24 Mar 2024

📅24/03/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
9.57
Draw
33%
6.26
Away
33%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.89
Over 2.5
50%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.99
No
50%
1.73
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
8%
+25.6pp
33%
Draw
13%
+20.4pp
33%
Away Win
79%
-46.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
31%
+18.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
69%
-18.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
46%
+3.8pp
50%
BTTS No
54%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Madrid (K) EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Barcelona (K) EU Bookmakers 84%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +99% / -17%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 60.2
Crosses 35.0
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Madrid (K)
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Barcelona (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
1.27 xG 3.30
37% Ball Possession 63%
5 Total Shots 21
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
227 Passes 496
74% Pass Accuracy 86%
10 Box Touches 38
8 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.01.2024 Barcelona (K) Barcelona (K) 4-0 HT 3-0 Real Madrid (K) Real Madrid (K) İSKSK
30.03.2022 Barcelona (K) Barcelona (K) 5-2 HT 1-1 Real Madrid (K) Real Madrid (K) ŞMP-K
22.03.2022 Real Madrid (K) Real Madrid (K) 1-3 HT 1-0 Barcelona (K) Barcelona (K) ŞMP-K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Madrid (K)
0-3
AWAY Barcelona (K)
0.11 xG 4.21
27% Ball Possession 73%
2 Total Shots 20
1 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 9
202 Passes 672
74% Pass Accuracy 91%
6 Box Touches 38
11 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Real Madrid (K) vs Barcelona (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barcelona (K) cruised past Real Madrid (K) 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 33% / 33% — and on the day Barcelona (K) made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Real Madrid (K) had 27% of the ball to Barcelona (K)'s 73%, shots finished 2-20, expected goals 0.11 to 4.21.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Barcelona (K) led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Real Madrid (K) and 4.00 for Barcelona (K).

What was the final score of Real Madrid (K) vs Barcelona (K)?

Real Madrid (K) 0-3 Barcelona (K) in the İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar on 24/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Madrid (K) vs Barcelona (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Madrid (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Real Madrid (K) 33%, draw 33%, Barcelona (K) 33%. The final score 0-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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