Badalona (K) 1-1 Villarreal (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar, 24 Mar 2024

📅24/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
1.8
Draw
33%
3.45
Away
33%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.75
Over 2.5
50%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
52%
-18.2pp
33%
Draw
26%
+7.7pp
33%
Away Win
23%
+10.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
53%
-3.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
47%
+3.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.9pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Badalona (K) EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Villarreal (K) EU Bookmakers 26%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +58% / +58%
0.94/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.45/0.92
-26% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% /
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.5
31.0 Crosses 15.5
0.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Badalona (K)
1-1
AWAY Villarreal (K)
1.45 xG 0.68
67% Ball Possession 33%
17 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 1
359 Passes 117
70% Pass Accuracy 46%
38 Box Touches 15
20 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Badalona (K) vs Villarreal (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Badalona (K) and Villarreal (K) shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (33% / 33% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Badalona (K) had 67% of the ball to Villarreal (K)'s 33%, shots finished 17-8, expected goals 1.45 to 0.68.

What was the final score of Badalona (K) vs Villarreal (K)?

Badalona (K) 1-1 Villarreal (K) in the İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar on 24/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Badalona (K) vs Villarreal (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Badalona (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Badalona (K) 33%, draw 33%, Villarreal (K) 33%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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