Sydney (K) 1-0 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 16 Nov 2024

📅16/11/2024 · 🕒06:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.43
Draw
28%
4.19
Away
15%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.1
Over 2.5
48%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.85
No
55%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
21%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
3%
2/2
4%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
65%
-8.7pp
28%
Draw
20%
+7.6pp
15%
Away Win
14%
+1.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
50%
-5.1pp
55%
BTTS No
50%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sydney (K) EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY W. Sydney Wanderers (K) EU Bookmakers 17%
-38% / -38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -33% / -33%
1.27/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.46/2.76
-57% / -54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -42%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
372 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 230 · 74%
31.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.0
13.0 Crosses 9.3
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sydney (K)
4W-0D-1L
AWAY W. Sydney Wanderers (K)
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.72 xG 1.08
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
262 Passes 258
70% Pass Accuracy 67%
26 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 3
02.03.2024 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 0-2 HT 0-0 Sydney (K) Sydney (K) AVUSTW
16.01.2021 Sydney (K) Sydney (K) 2-0 HT 1-0 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) W. Sydney Wanderers (K) AVUSTW
20.12.2019 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 5-0 HT 3-0 Sydney (K) Sydney (K) AVUSTW
10.01.2019 Sydney (K) Sydney (K) 3-0 HT 1-0 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) W. Sydney Wanderers (K) AVUSTW
25.10.2018 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 0-3 HT 0-1 Sydney (K) Sydney (K) AVUSTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sydney (K)
1-0
AWAY W. Sydney Wanderers (K)
1.30 xG 1.21
47% Ball Possession 53%
16 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
207 Passes 235
63% Pass Accuracy 63%
33 Box Touches 20
12 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sydney (K) vs W. Sydney Wanderers (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sydney (K) edged past W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sydney (K) as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Sydney (K) had 47% of the ball to W. Sydney Wanderers (K)'s 53%, shots finished 16-14, expected goals 1.30 to 1.21.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Sydney (K) had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Sydney (K) and 1.00 for W. Sydney Wanderers (K).

What was the final score of Sydney (K) vs W. Sydney Wanderers (K)?

Sydney (K) 1-0 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) in the Australia - W-League on 16/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sydney (K) vs W. Sydney Wanderers (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sydney (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Sydney (K) 57%, draw 28%, W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 15%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sydney (K)), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sydney (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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AVUSTW More Australia - W-League
16 Nov 2024
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