Canberra United (K) 0-2 Adelaide United (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 16 Nov 2024

📅16/11/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.47
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
32%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.51
Over 2.5
49%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.43
No
54%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
16%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
37%
+3.3pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.7pp
32%
Away Win
39%
-7.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
36%
+15.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
64%
-15.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
66%
-19.9pp
54%
BTTS No
34%
+19.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Canberra United (K) EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Adelaide United (K) EU Bookmakers 43%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+63% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
327 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 76%
17.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
9.8 Crosses
0.7 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Canberra United (K)
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Adelaide United (K)
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.73 xG 1.75
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
300 Passes 318
74% Pass Accuracy 73%
18 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
13.01.2024 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) 3-1 HT 0-0 Adelaide United (K) Adelaide United (K) AVUSTW
22.12.2019 Adelaide United (K) Adelaide United (K) 1-2 HT 0-1 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) AVUSTW
13.01.2019 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) 1-0 HT 0-0 Adelaide United (K) Adelaide United (K) AVUSTW
22.11.2018 Adelaide United (K) Adelaide United (K) 2-0 HT 1-0 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) AVUSTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Canberra United (K)
0-2
AWAY Adelaide United (K)
1.13 xG 0.75
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 6
278 Passes 361
76% Pass Accuracy 77%
14 Box Touches 26
12 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Canberra United (K) vs Adelaide United (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Adelaide United (K) got the better of Canberra United (K) 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (40% / 28% / 32%) promised a tight game; Adelaide United (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Canberra United (K) had 44% of the ball to Adelaide United (K)'s 56%, shots finished 11-15, expected goals 1.13 to 0.75.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Canberra United (K) had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Canberra United (K) and 1.00 for Adelaide United (K).

What was the final score of Canberra United (K) vs Adelaide United (K)?

Canberra United (K) 0-2 Adelaide United (K) in the Australia - W-League on 16/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Canberra United (K) vs Adelaide United (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Canberra United (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Canberra United (K) 40%, draw 28%, Adelaide United (K) 32%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Canberra United (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Canberra United (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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AVUSTW More Australia - W-League
16 Nov 2024
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