Novorizontino 1-1 Paysandu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 16 Nov 2024

Novorizontino
1-1 HT 0-0
Paysandu
📅16/11/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie B – 2024

Novorizontino vs Paysandu Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.57
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
24%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.62
Over 2.5
42%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.27
No
57%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.62
2-3 Goals
42%
1.79
4-5 Goals
19%
4.61
6+ Goals
7%
24.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
60%
-11.3pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.7pp
24%
Away Win
16%
+7.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
58%
+0.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
42%
-0.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
40%
+2.6pp
57%
BTTS No
60%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Novorizontino v Paysandu — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Novorizontino EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Paysandu EU Bookmakers 19%
-8% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -6%
1.25/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.51/1.07
-25% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -4%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
291 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 77%
18.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.0
25.0 Crosses 17.1
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.6

Novorizontino vs Paysandu Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Novorizontino
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Paysandu
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.80 xG 1.60
34% Ball Possession 66%
10 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 10
138 Passes 356
62% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Box Touches 15
15 Crosses 28
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
30.07.2024 Paysandu Paysandu 1-3 HT 1-1 Novorizontino Novorizontino BR2

Novorizontino 1-1 Paysandu — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Novorizontino
1-1
AWAY Paysandu
2.05 xG 0.11
49% Ball Possession 51%
29 Total Shots 4
12 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 1
273 Passes 311
77% Pass Accuracy 77%
28 Box Touches 8
41 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Novorizontino vs Paysandu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Novorizontino and Paysandu couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Novorizontino at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, Novorizontino had 49% of the ball to Paysandu's 51%, shots finished 29-4, expected goals 2.05 to 0.11.

What was the final score of Novorizontino vs Paysandu?

Novorizontino 1-1 Paysandu in the Brazil - Serie B on 16/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Novorizontino vs Paysandu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Novorizontino win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Novorizontino 48%, draw 28%, Paysandu 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Novorizontino), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Novorizontino) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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