Middelfart 0-1 Naestved — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 2nd Division, 16 Nov 2024

Middelfart
0-1
Naestved
📅16/11/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Denmark - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Middelfart vs Naestved Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.96
Draw
31%
3.54
Away
27%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.86
Over 2.5
43%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
3.31
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
22%
3.64
6+ Goals
8%
14.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.31 — our 32% vs market 25.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
15%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
47%
-5.3pp
31%
Draw
25%
+6.2pp
27%
Away Win
28%
-0.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
50%
+7.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
50%
-7.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.4pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Middelfart v Naestved — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Middelfart EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Naestved EU Bookmakers 32%
+2% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +4%
1.47/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.17
+5% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +15%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
375 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.3 Yellow Cards 4.3

Middelfart vs Naestved Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Middelfart
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Naestved
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 20
5 Shots on Target 11
4 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
19.09.2021 Naestved Naestved 4-0 HT 2-0 Middelfart Middelfart DAN2
18.10.2014 Middelfart Middelfart 1-2 HT 1-0 Naestved Naestved DAN2

Middelfart 0-1 Naestved — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Middelfart
0-1
AWAY Naestved
62% Ball Possession 38%
11 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Middelfart vs Naestved
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Naestved squeezed past Middelfart 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Middelfart at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Middelfart had 62% of the ball to Naestved's 38%, shots finished 11-7.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Naestved led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Middelfart and 3.00 for Naestved.

What was the final score of Middelfart vs Naestved?

Middelfart 0-1 Naestved in the Denmark - 2nd Division on 16/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Middelfart vs Naestved?

Before kick-off our model rated a Middelfart win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Middelfart 42%, draw 31%, Naestved 27%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Middelfart) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Middelfart) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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