Thisted 2-4 Akademisk BK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 2nd Division, 16 Nov 2024

Thisted
2-4
Akademisk BK
📅16/11/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Denmark - 2nd Division – 2025/2026

Thisted vs Akademisk BK Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.57
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
31%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.68
Over 2.5
39%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.85
No
61%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
39%
2.78
2-3 Goals
35%
1.79
4-5 Goals
18%
4.31
6+ Goals
8%
21.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.78 — our 39% vs market 30.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
35%
+4.5pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.6pp
32%
Away Win
39%
-7.1pp
61%
Under 2.5
56%
+5.4pp
39%
Over 2.5
44%
-5.4pp
39%
BTTS Yes
50%
-11.0pp
61%
BTTS No
50%
+11.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Thisted v Akademisk BK — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Thisted EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Akademisk BK EU Bookmakers 43%
+8% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +2%
0.98/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.15
-26% / +67% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +18%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
272 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.1

Thisted vs Akademisk BK Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Thisted
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Akademisk BK
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
07.09.2024 Akademisk BK Akademisk BK 1-1 HT 1-0 Thisted Thisted DAN2
28.10.2023 Thisted Thisted 0-1 HT 0-0 Akademisk BK Akademisk BK DAN2
30.09.2023 Akademisk BK Akademisk BK 2-1 HT 1-1 Thisted Thisted DAN2
20.11.2022 Akademisk BK Akademisk BK 2-1 HT 0-0 Thisted Thisted DAN2
15.10.2022 Thisted Thisted 1-2 HT 1-0 Akademisk BK Akademisk BK DAN2
20.03.2022 Akademisk BK Akademisk BK 0-1 HT 0-0 Thisted Thisted DAN2
POST-MATCH Thisted vs Akademisk BK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Akademisk BK saw off Thisted 4-2 away from home. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 29% / 32% — and on the day Akademisk BK made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Akademisk BK led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Thisted and 1.33 for Akademisk BK.

What was the final score of Thisted vs Akademisk BK?

Thisted 2-4 Akademisk BK in the Denmark - 2nd Division on 16/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Thisted vs Akademisk BK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Thisted win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Thisted 40%, draw 29%, Akademisk BK 32%. The final score 2-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Thisted) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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