16/11/2024
·
20:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-4
2nd Score
0-3
ASJR vs Bourgoin Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
30%
4-5 Goals
37%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
31%
X/X
6%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
7%
18%
Draw
14%
60%
Away Win
79%
39%
Under 2.5
41%
61%
Over 2.5
59%
47%
BTTS Yes
40%
53%
BTTS No
60%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
ASJR v Bourgoin — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
ASJR
EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY
Bourgoin
EU Bookmakers 84%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
36%
Ball Possession
64%
9
Total Shots
17
3
Shots on Target
6
4
Corners
6
262 · 72%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
407 · 81%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
ASJR vs Bourgoin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Bourgoin swept aside ASJR 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Bourgoin as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%) came in.
What was the final score of ASJR vs Bourgoin?
ASJR 0-4 Bourgoin in the France - Cup on 16/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for ASJR vs Bourgoin?
Before kick-off our model rated an Bourgoin win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split ASJR 21%, draw 18%, Bourgoin 60%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bourgoin), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Bourgoin)
✓ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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FRK
More France - Cup
16 Nov 2024