Excelsior Barendrecht (K) 0-3 PEC Zwolle (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie, 16 Nov 2024

📅16/11/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.38
Draw
32%
3.35
Away
40%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.97
Over 2.5
40%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.63
No
59%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
7%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
29%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
38%
-10.0pp
32%
Draw
26%
+6.0pp
40%
Away Win
36%
+3.9pp
60%
Under 2.5
47%
+13.7pp
40%
Over 2.5
53%
-13.7pp
41%
BTTS Yes
57%
-16.1pp
59%
BTTS No
43%
+16.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Excelsior Barendrecht (K) EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY PEC Zwolle (K) EU Bookmakers 40%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -52% / -52%
1.00/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/4.00
+13% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -75%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
368 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.0 Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Excelsior Barendrecht (K)
0W-0D-1L
AWAY PEC Zwolle (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
30.03.2024 PEC Zwolle (K) PEC Zwolle (K) 3-1 HT 1-1 Excelsior Barendrecht (K) Excelsior Barendrecht (K) HOLK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Excelsior Barendrecht (K)
0-3
AWAY PEC Zwolle (K)
40% Ball Possession 60%
18 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
242 Passes 415
73% Pass Accuracy 79%
23 Crosses 13
POST-MATCH Excelsior Barendrecht (K) vs PEC Zwolle (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PEC Zwolle (K) cruised past Excelsior Barendrecht (K) 3-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (28% / 32% / 40%) promised a tight game; PEC Zwolle (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, no to both teams scoring (59%) landed while under 2.5 goals (60%) missed.

On the day, Excelsior Barendrecht (K) had 40% of the ball to PEC Zwolle (K)'s 60%, shots finished 18-14.

What was the final score of Excelsior Barendrecht (K) vs PEC Zwolle (K)?

Excelsior Barendrecht (K) 0-3 PEC Zwolle (K) in the Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie on 16/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Excelsior Barendrecht (K) vs PEC Zwolle (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an PEC Zwolle (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Excelsior Barendrecht (K) 28%, draw 32%, PEC Zwolle (K) 40%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PEC Zwolle (K)), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (PEC Zwolle (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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