Cerezo Osaka (K) 1-3 Parceiro Nagano (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 16 Nov 2024

📅16/11/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.76
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
31%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.71
Over 2.5
51%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS No — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
53%
-9.6pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.1pp
31%
Away Win
22%
+9.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
55%
-5.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
45%
+5.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.3pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cerezo Osaka (K) EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Parceiro Nagano (K) EU Bookmakers 25%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -16%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
402 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cerezo Osaka (K)
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Parceiro Nagano (K)
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
12.05.2024 Parceiro Nagano (K) Parceiro Nagano (K) 1-2 HT 0-1 Cerezo Osaka (K) Cerezo Osaka (K) JWEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cerezo Osaka (K)
1-3
AWAY Parceiro Nagano (K)
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Cerezo Osaka (K) vs Parceiro Nagano (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Parceiro Nagano (K) beat Cerezo Osaka (K) 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Cerezo Osaka (K) at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Cerezo Osaka (K) had 57% of the ball to Parceiro Nagano (K)'s 43%, shots finished 11-9.

What was the final score of Cerezo Osaka (K) vs Parceiro Nagano (K)?

Cerezo Osaka (K) 1-3 Parceiro Nagano (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 16/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cerezo Osaka (K) vs Parceiro Nagano (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cerezo Osaka (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Cerezo Osaka (K) 43%, draw 26%, Parceiro Nagano (K) 31%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Cerezo Osaka (K)), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cerezo Osaka (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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