Ho Chi Minh 2-1 Cong An Nhan Dan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Vietnam - V-League 1, 16 Nov 2024

📅16/11/2024 · 🕒15:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
4.48
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
47%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.67
Over 2.5
47%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.06
No
54%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
20%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
19%
+10.9pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.8pp
47%
Away Win
55%
-8.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.9pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ho Chi Minh EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Cong An Nhan Dan EU Bookmakers 59%
-2% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -23%
0.90/1.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.13
-11% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -17%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
297 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ho Chi Minh
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Cong An Nhan Dan
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
21.05.2024 Ho Chi Minh Ho Chi Minh 2-1 HT 1-0 Cong An Nhan Dan Cong An Nhan Dan VİET
18.02.2024 Cong An Nhan Dan Cong An Nhan Dan 2-0 HT 2-0 Ho Chi Minh Ho Chi Minh VİET
21.05.2023 Ho Chi Minh Ho Chi Minh 3-5 HT 2-4 Cong An Nhan Dan Cong An Nhan Dan VİET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ho Chi Minh
2-1
AWAY Cong An Nhan Dan
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 9
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ho Chi Minh vs Cong An Nhan Dan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ho Chi Minh squeezed past Cong An Nhan Dan 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Cong An Nhan Dan at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Ho Chi Minh had 41% of the ball to Cong An Nhan Dan's 59%, shots finished 11-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Cong An Nhan Dan led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Ho Chi Minh and 2.67 for Cong An Nhan Dan.

What was the final score of Ho Chi Minh vs Cong An Nhan Dan?

Ho Chi Minh 2-1 Cong An Nhan Dan in the Vietnam - V-League 1 on 16/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ho Chi Minh vs Cong An Nhan Dan?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cong An Nhan Dan win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Ho Chi Minh 30%, draw 22%, Cong An Nhan Dan 47%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Cong An Nhan Dan) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
VİET More Vietnam - V-League 1
16 Nov 2024
14:00 Nam Dinh FC vs Da Nang Analysis →