Rayo Zuliano 0-3 Caracas FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 16 Nov 2024

📅16/11/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.27
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
32%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.74
Over 2.5
42%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.81
No
54%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
40%
-1.8pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.0pp
32%
Away Win
33%
-1.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
54%
+4.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
46%
-4.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.1pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rayo Zuliano EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Caracas FC EU Bookmakers 37%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -2%
1.59/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.14
+20% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +14%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
335 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 72%
18.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
17.1 Crosses 17.6
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rayo Zuliano
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Caracas FC
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
0.85 xG 1.33
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
255 Passes 282
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
21 Box Touches 23
17 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 4
21.07.2024 Caracas FC Caracas FC 1-2 HT 0-1 Rayo Zuliano Rayo Zuliano VEN
11.02.2024 Rayo Zuliano Rayo Zuliano 0-1 HT 0-1 Caracas FC Caracas FC VEN
30.09.2023 Rayo Zuliano Rayo Zuliano 0-0 HT 0-0 Caracas FC Caracas FC VEN
13.02.2023 Caracas FC Caracas FC 3-3 HT 1-1 Rayo Zuliano Rayo Zuliano VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rayo Zuliano
0-3
AWAY Caracas FC
0.81 xG 2.45
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 8
9 Corners 5
307 Passes 266
86% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Box Touches 23
19 Crosses 12
POST-MATCH Rayo Zuliano vs Caracas FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Caracas FC cruised past Rayo Zuliano 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (38% / 30% / 32%) promised a tight game; Caracas FC found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Rayo Zuliano had 55% of the ball to Caracas FC's 45%, shots finished 13-15, expected goals 0.81 to 2.45.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Rayo Zuliano and 1.25 for Caracas FC.

What was the final score of Rayo Zuliano vs Caracas FC?

Rayo Zuliano 0-3 Caracas FC in the Venezuela - Premier League on 16/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rayo Zuliano vs Caracas FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rayo Zuliano win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Rayo Zuliano 38%, draw 30%, Caracas FC 32%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Rayo Zuliano), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rayo Zuliano) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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