Aston Villa (K) 1-3 London City (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Women's Premier League, 16 Nov 2025

📅16/11/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.0
Draw
31%
3.45
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.15
Over 2.5
59%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.56
No
36%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
46%
-7.9pp
31%
Draw
26%
+5.7pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+2.2pp
41%
Under 2.5
43%
-1.6pp
59%
Over 2.5
57%
+1.6pp
64%
BTTS Yes
60%
+4.0pp
36%
BTTS No
40%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aston Villa (K) EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY London City (K) EU Bookmakers 32%
-36% / -36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +50% / +50%
1.53/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.36
-4% / -54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / +44%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
315 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 77%
27.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
16.9 Crosses 13.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aston Villa (K)
1-3
AWAY London City (K)
1.76 xG 2.06
53% Ball Possession 47%
22 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
340 Passes 311
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
25 Box Touches 21
15 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Aston Villa (K) vs London City (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

London City (K) beat Aston Villa (K) 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 31% / 31% — and on the day London City (K) made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (64%) came in.

On the day, Aston Villa (K) had 53% of the ball to London City (K)'s 47%, shots finished 22-10, expected goals 1.76 to 2.06.

What was the final score of Aston Villa (K) vs London City (K)?

Aston Villa (K) 1-3 London City (K) in the England - Women's Premier League on 16/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aston Villa (K) vs London City (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aston Villa (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Aston Villa (K) 38%, draw 31%, London City (K) 31%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Aston Villa (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aston Villa (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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