Liverpool (K) 1-1 Chelsea (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Women's Premier League, 16 Nov 2025

Liverpool (K)
1-1 HT 1-1
Chelsea (K)
📅16/11/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
England - Women's Premier League – 2025/2026

Liverpool (K) vs Chelsea (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
13%
9.57
Draw
14%
5.28
Away
73%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.29
Over 2.5
47%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.13
No
63%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
6%
X/2
23%
X/X
5%
2/1
2%
2/2
46%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
12%
Home Win
7%
+5.5pp
14%
Draw
15%
-0.7pp
73%
Away Win
78%
-4.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
40%
+13.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
60%
-13.0pp
37%
BTTS Yes
43%
-5.5pp
63%
BTTS No
57%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Liverpool (K) v Chelsea (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Liverpool (K) EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Chelsea (K) EU Bookmakers 84%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -11%
0.93/1.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.42/0.91
+41% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / +28%
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
224 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 437 · 81%
12.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 49.0
11.2 Crosses 28.1
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.0

Liverpool (K) vs Chelsea (K) Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Liverpool (K)
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Chelsea (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
0.57 xG 2.57
35% Ball Possession 65%
8 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 6
179 Passes 479
62% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 43
11 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
10.11.2024 Liverpool (K) Liverpool (K) 0-3 HT 0-2 Chelsea (K) Chelsea (K) İNKPL
01.05.2024 Liverpool (K) Liverpool (K) 4-3 HT 0-1 Chelsea (K) Chelsea (K) İNKPL
18.11.2023 Chelsea (K) Chelsea (K) 5-1 HT 2-1 Liverpool (K) Liverpool (K) İNKPL
15.12.2019 Liverpool (K) Liverpool (K) 1-1 HT 1-1 Chelsea (K) Chelsea (K) İNKPL
13.03.2019 Liverpool (K) Liverpool (K) 0-4 HT 0-2 Chelsea (K) Chelsea (K) İNKPL
28.10.2018 Chelsea (K) Chelsea (K) 1-0 HT 1-0 Liverpool (K) Liverpool (K) İNKPL

Liverpool (K) 1-1 Chelsea (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Liverpool (K)
1-1
AWAY Chelsea (K)
1.32 xG 1.11
34% Ball Possession 66%
7 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 3
222 Passes 539
67% Pass Accuracy 85%
4 Box Touches 32
6 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Liverpool (K) vs Chelsea (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Liverpool (K) and Chelsea (K) shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Chelsea (K) at 73% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Liverpool (K) had 34% of the ball to Chelsea (K)'s 66%, shots finished 7-9, expected goals 1.32 to 1.11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chelsea (K) led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Liverpool (K) and 2.83 for Chelsea (K).

What was the final score of Liverpool (K) vs Chelsea (K)?

Liverpool (K) 1-1 Chelsea (K) in the England - Women's Premier League on 16/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Liverpool (K) vs Chelsea (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chelsea (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 73%, with the full match-result split Liverpool (K) 12%, draw 14%, Chelsea (K) 73%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Chelsea (K)), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chelsea (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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