Ourense CF 3-0 CD Guadalajara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 16 Nov 2025

📅16/11/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.25
Draw
25%
2.94
Away
34%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
56%
1.48
Over
44%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.09
No
50%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2.14
2-3
43%
1.76
4-5
17%
5.37
6+
7%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
41%
+0.1pp
25%
Draw
30%
-5.2pp
34%
Away Win
29%
+5.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
64%
-7.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
36%
+7.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.9pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ourense CF EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Guadalajara EU Bookmakers 32%
+9% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
1.17/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.01/1.50
-8% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -99% / -23%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
307 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ourense CF
0W-0D-1L
AWAY CD Guadalajara
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
3 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
03.04.2014 CD Guadalajara CD Guadalajara 2-1 HT 1-1 Ourense CF Ourense CF İSPFK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ourense CF
3-0
AWAY CD Guadalajara
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ourense CF vs CD Guadalajara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ourense CF swept aside CD Guadalajara 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ourense CF as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ourense CF had 57% of the ball to CD Guadalajara's 43%, shots finished 13-4.

What was the final score of Ourense CF vs CD Guadalajara?

Ourense CF 3-0 CD Guadalajara in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 16/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ourense CF vs CD Guadalajara?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ourense CF win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Ourense CF 41%, draw 25%, CD Guadalajara 34%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ourense CF) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ourense CF) ✗ Under 2.5
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