Alcorcon vs Atletico Madrid II Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Alcorcon v Atletico Madrid II — Team-Based Signals
Alcorcon vs Atletico Madrid II Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Alcorcon 0-1 Atletico Madrid II — Actual Match Statistics
Atletico Madrid II edged past Alcorcon 1-0 away from home.
We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 26% / 35% — and on the day Atletico Madrid II made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%) came in.
On the day, Alcorcon had 35% of the ball to Atletico Madrid II's 65%, shots finished 9-16.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Atletico Madrid II led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Alcorcon and 2.50 for Atletico Madrid II.
What was the final score of Alcorcon vs Atletico Madrid II?
Alcorcon 0-1 Atletico Madrid II in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 16/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Alcorcon vs Atletico Madrid II?
Before kick-off our model rated a Alcorcon win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Alcorcon 39%, draw 26%, Atletico Madrid II 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Alcorcon) went the other way.