Alcorcon vs Atletico Madrid II Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Alcorcon v Atletico Madrid II — Team-Based Signals
Alcorcon 2-3 Atletico Madrid II — Actual Match Statistics
Atletico Madrid II edged past Alcorcon 3-2 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Alcorcon at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Alcorcon had 57% of the ball to Atletico Madrid II's 43%, shots finished 13-12.
What was the final score of Alcorcon vs Atletico Madrid II?
Alcorcon 2-3 Atletico Madrid II in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Alcorcon vs Atletico Madrid II?
Before kick-off our model rated a Alcorcon win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Alcorcon 44%, draw 30%, Atletico Madrid II 26%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.