Real Sociedad II 0-1 Sestao River — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.05
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
33%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.52
Over 2.5
41%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.13
No
57%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.26
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
18%
5.44
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
45%
-4.7pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.4pp
33%
Away Win
26%
+6.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
43%
+0.3pp
57%
BTTS No
57%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Sociedad II EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Sestao River EU Bookmakers 30%
-1% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +1%
1.51/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.48
+11% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -16%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
426 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.5 Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Sociedad II
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Sestao River
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
0.79 xG 0.54
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
206 Passes 189
61% Pass Accuracy 58%
15 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.04.2024 Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad II 2-3 HT 1-2 Sestao River Sestao River İS3
17.09.2023 Sestao River Sestao River 0-0 HT 0-0 Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad II İS3
09.08.2023 Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad II 1-0 HT 0-0 Sestao River Sestao River HAZ
17.04.2014 Sestao River Sestao River 2-1 HT 1-0 Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad II İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Sociedad II
0-1
AWAY Sestao River
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Real Sociedad II vs Sestao River
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sestao River nicked a narrow win over Real Sociedad II 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (40% / 27% / 33%) promised a tight game; Sestao River found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Real Sociedad II had 55% of the ball to Sestao River's 45%, shots finished 10-10.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Sestao River led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Real Sociedad II and 1.25 for Sestao River.

What was the final score of Real Sociedad II vs Sestao River?

Real Sociedad II 0-1 Sestao River in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Sociedad II vs Sestao River?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Sociedad II win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Real Sociedad II 40%, draw 27%, Sestao River 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Real Sociedad II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Real Sociedad II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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