Algeciras 1-3 Marbella — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.19
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
34%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.51
Over 2.5
41%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.09
No
54%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.24
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
19%
5.53
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-3.6pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.4pp
34%
Away Win
29%
+5.2pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.0pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Algeciras EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Marbella EU Bookmakers 33%
+1% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -3%
1.28/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.19
+3% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
282 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.3 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Algeciras
0W-3D-0L
AWAY Marbella
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
6 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 3
17.01.2021 Marbella Marbella 0-0 HT 0-0 Algeciras Algeciras İS3
18.10.2020 Algeciras Algeciras 0-0 HT 0-0 Marbella Marbella İS3
14.12.2019 Marbella Marbella 0-0 HT 0-0 Algeciras Algeciras İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Algeciras
1-3
AWAY Marbella
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Algeciras vs Marbella
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marbella saw off Algeciras 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 28% / 34% — and on the day Marbella made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Algeciras had 53% of the ball to Marbella's 47%, shots finished 11-6.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Algeciras and 0.00 for Marbella.

What was the final score of Algeciras vs Marbella?

Algeciras 1-3 Marbella in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Algeciras vs Marbella?

Before kick-off our model rated a Algeciras win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Algeciras 38%, draw 28%, Marbella 34%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Algeciras) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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