Real Sociedad II 2-3 Sestao River — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.89
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
26%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.59
Over 2.5
45%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.09
No
50%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.4
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
5.0
6+ Goals
12%
29.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
16%
2/1
11%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
49%
-4.6pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.4pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-4.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+4.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.8pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Sociedad II EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Sestao River EU Bookmakers 28%
-6% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.50/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.84
-2% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -33%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
321 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
20.5 Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Sociedad II
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Sestao River
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.79 xG 0.54
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
206 Passes 189
61% Pass Accuracy 58%
15 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
17.09.2023 Sestao River Sestao River 0-0 HT 0-0 Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad II İS3
09.08.2023 Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad II 1-0 HT 0-0 Sestao River Sestao River HAZ
17.04.2014 Sestao River Sestao River 2-1 HT 1-0 Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad II İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Sociedad II
2-3
AWAY Sestao River
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Real Sociedad II vs Sestao River
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sestao River squeezed past Real Sociedad II 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Real Sociedad II at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Real Sociedad II had 54% of the ball to Sestao River's 46%, shots finished 15-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Real Sociedad II and 0.67 for Sestao River.

What was the final score of Real Sociedad II vs Sestao River?

Real Sociedad II 2-3 Sestao River in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Sociedad II vs Sestao River?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Sociedad II win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Real Sociedad II 45%, draw 29%, Sestao River 26%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Real Sociedad II) ✗ Under 2.5
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