Alcoyano 1-1 San Fernando — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.86
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
25%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.51
Over 2.5
40%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.19
No
56%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.25
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
18%
5.49
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
6%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
50%
-3.3pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.0pp
25%
Away Win
22%
+3.4pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.7pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.7pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alcoyano EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY San Fernando EU Bookmakers 25%
+10% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -15%
1.59/0.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.48
+4% / +55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -7%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
366 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alcoyano
1W-1D-1L
AWAY San Fernando
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
17.12.2023 San Fernando San Fernando 0-3 HT 0-2 Alcoyano Alcoyano İS3
19.03.2022 San Fernando San Fernando 0-0 HT 0-0 Alcoyano Alcoyano İS3
02.10.2021 Alcoyano Alcoyano 0-2 HT 0-0 San Fernando San Fernando İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alcoyano
1-1
AWAY San Fernando
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Alcoyano vs San Fernando
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alcoyano and San Fernando couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Alcoyano at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Alcoyano had 47% of the ball to San Fernando's 53%, shots finished 11-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Alcoyano and 0.67 for San Fernando.

What was the final score of Alcoyano vs San Fernando?

Alcoyano 1-1 San Fernando in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alcoyano vs San Fernando?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alcoyano win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Alcoyano 47%, draw 28%, San Fernando 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Alcoyano), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alcoyano) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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