Intercity Alicante 1-2 CD Castellon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.08
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
39%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.74
Over 2.5
43%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.85
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.1
6+ Goals
8%
19.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.85 — our 32% vs market 29.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
29%
+4.3pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.4pp
39%
Away Win
44%
-4.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
54%
+3.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
46%
-3.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.6pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Intercity Alicante EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Castellon EU Bookmakers 48%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -26%
1.70/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.45
+62% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -36%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
244 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 395 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Intercity Alicante
1W-0D-2L
AWAY CD Castellon
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
10.09.2023 CD Castellon CD Castellon 3-1 HT 1-1 Intercity Alicante Intercity Alicante İS3
25.02.2023 Intercity Alicante Intercity Alicante 3-1 HT 1-0 CD Castellon CD Castellon İS3
06.11.2022 CD Castellon CD Castellon 1-0 HT 1-0 Intercity Alicante Intercity Alicante İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Intercity Alicante
1-2
AWAY CD Castellon
41% Ball Possession 59%
13 Total Shots 20
7 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Intercity Alicante vs CD Castellon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Castellon edged past Intercity Alicante 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (33% / 28% / 39%) promised a tight game; CD Castellon found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Intercity Alicante had 41% of the ball to CD Castellon's 59%, shots finished 13-20.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, CD Castellon led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Intercity Alicante and 1.67 for CD Castellon.

What was the final score of Intercity Alicante vs CD Castellon?

Intercity Alicante 1-2 CD Castellon in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Intercity Alicante vs CD Castellon?

Before kick-off our model rated an CD Castellon win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Intercity Alicante 33%, draw 28%, CD Castellon 39%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CD Castellon) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CD Castellon) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS3 More Spain - 2nd Division B
6 Apr 2024
16:00 Real Sociedad II vs Sestao River Analysis →
17:00 Sabadell vs Teruel Analysis →
17:00 Rayo Majadahonda vs Ponferradina Analysis →
19:00 Celta Vigo II vs Osasuna II Analysis →
21:00 Real Union vs Cornella Analysis →
21:00 Alcoyano vs San Fernando Analysis →