Rayo Majadahonda 0-1 Ponferradina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.99
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
41%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.48
Over 2.5
42%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.09
No
58%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.2
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
18%
5.68
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
14%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
30%
+1.1pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.8pp
41%
Away Win
40%
+0.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
64%
-5.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
36%
+5.7pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.2pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rayo Majadahonda EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Ponferradina EU Bookmakers 45%
+2% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +47% / +47%
1.30/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/0.00
+24% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% /
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
294 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
24.0 Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rayo Majadahonda
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Ponferradina
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
3 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 8
0 Corners 5
5 Yellow Cards 2
12.11.2023 Ponferradina Ponferradina 1-0 HT 0-0 Rayo Majadahonda Rayo Majadahonda İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rayo Majadahonda
0-1
AWAY Ponferradina
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Rayo Majadahonda vs Ponferradina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ponferradina squeezed past Rayo Majadahonda 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ponferradina as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Rayo Majadahonda had 45% of the ball to Ponferradina's 55%, shots finished 7-10.

What was the final score of Rayo Majadahonda vs Ponferradina?

Rayo Majadahonda 0-1 Ponferradina in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rayo Majadahonda vs Ponferradina?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ponferradina win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Rayo Majadahonda 31%, draw 28%, Ponferradina 41%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ponferradina), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ponferradina) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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