Atletico Madrid II 2-1 Alcorcon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 26 Jan 2025

📅26/01/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
30%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.6
Over 2.5
47%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.09
No
53%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.41
2-3 Goals
43%
1.72
4-5 Goals
19%
4.39
6+ Goals
10%
23.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
53%
-8.4pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.5pp
30%
Away Win
20%
+10.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
59%
-5.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
41%
+5.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.5pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Madrid II EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Alcorcon EU Bookmakers 23%
-2% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.75/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.62
+9% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -14%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
288 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Madrid II
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Alcorcon
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 4
14.09.2024 Alcorcon Alcorcon 2-3 HT 1-0 Atletico Madrid II Atletico Madrid II İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Madrid II
2-1
AWAY Alcorcon
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Atletico Madrid II vs Alcorcon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Madrid II nicked a narrow win over Alcorcon 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Atletico Madrid II as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Atletico Madrid II had 56% of the ball to Alcorcon's 44%, shots finished 12-9.

What was the final score of Atletico Madrid II vs Alcorcon?

Atletico Madrid II 2-1 Alcorcon in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 26/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Madrid II vs Alcorcon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Madrid II win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Atletico Madrid II 45%, draw 25%, Alcorcon 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Madrid II) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Madrid II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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