Gimnastic Tarragona 1-1 Amorebieta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 26 Jan 2025

📅26/01/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.57
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
22%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.74
Over 2.5
44%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.09
No
56%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.7
2-3 Goals
42%
1.72
4-5 Goals
21%
3.87
6+ Goals
9%
18.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
59%
-7.8pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.1pp
22%
Away Win
16%
+5.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
54%
+1.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
46%
-1.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.1pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimnastic Tarragona EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Amorebieta EU Bookmakers 20%
+1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -10%
1.63/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/2.21
-3% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -31%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
430 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimnastic Tarragona
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Amorebieta
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
41% Ball Possession 59%
6 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
08.09.2024 Amorebieta Amorebieta 0-1 HT 0-0 Gimnastic Tarragona Gimnastic Tarragona İS3
20.05.2023 Amorebieta Amorebieta 1-1 HT 1-1 Gimnastic Tarragona Gimnastic Tarragona İS3
25.09.2022 Gimnastic Tarragona Gimnastic Tarragona 1-0 HT 1-0 Amorebieta Amorebieta İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gimnastic Tarragona
1-1
AWAY Amorebieta
69% Ball Possession 31%
19 Total Shots 2
7 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Gimnastic Tarragona vs Amorebieta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimnastic Tarragona and Amorebieta couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Gimnastic Tarragona at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (56%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Gimnastic Tarragona had 69% of the ball to Amorebieta's 31%, shots finished 19-2.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Gimnastic Tarragona had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Gimnastic Tarragona and 0.33 for Amorebieta.

What was the final score of Gimnastic Tarragona vs Amorebieta?

Gimnastic Tarragona 1-1 Amorebieta in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 26/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimnastic Tarragona vs Amorebieta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gimnastic Tarragona win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Gimnastic Tarragona 52%, draw 26%, Amorebieta 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Gimnastic Tarragona), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gimnastic Tarragona) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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