Real Madrid II 2-2 Villarreal II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 26 Jan 2025

📅26/01/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.86
Draw
32%
3.28
Away
25%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.71
Over 2.5
43%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.69
2-3 Goals
45%
1.72
4-5 Goals
20%
3.89
6+ Goals
9%
18.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
50%
-6.5pp
32%
Draw
27%
+4.7pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+1.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
55%
+2.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
45%
-2.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.6pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Madrid II EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Villarreal II EU Bookmakers 27%
+6% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +0%
2.10/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/0.92
+43% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +39%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
314 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Madrid II
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Villarreal II
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
07.09.2024 Villarreal II Villarreal II 1-1 HT 0-0 Real Madrid II Real Madrid II İS3
08.05.2022 Villarreal II Villarreal II 4-1 HT 2-1 Real Madrid II Real Madrid II İS3
29.10.2021 Real Madrid II Real Madrid II 2-1 HT 2-1 Villarreal II Villarreal II İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Madrid II
2-2
AWAY Villarreal II
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Real Madrid II vs Villarreal II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Madrid II and Villarreal II shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Real Madrid II at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Real Madrid II had 61% of the ball to Villarreal II's 39%, shots finished 14-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Real Madrid II and 2.00 for Villarreal II.

What was the final score of Real Madrid II vs Villarreal II?

Real Madrid II 2-2 Villarreal II in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 26/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Madrid II vs Villarreal II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Madrid II win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Real Madrid II 43%, draw 32%, Villarreal II 25%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Real Madrid II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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