Villarreal II 1-1 Real Madrid II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 7 Sep 2024

📅07/09/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.19
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
26%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.74
Over 2.5
44%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.89
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
4.04
6+ Goals
13%
18.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+1.4pp
31%
Draw
27%
+3.5pp
26%
Away Win
31%
-4.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
54%
+2.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
46%
-2.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.9pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Villarreal II EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Madrid II EU Bookmakers 34%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -5%
1.76/0.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.33
+41% / +82% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -17%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
337 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Villarreal II
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Real Madrid II
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 0
3 Yellow Cards 3
08.05.2022 Villarreal II Villarreal II 4-1 HT 2-1 Real Madrid II Real Madrid II İS3
29.10.2021 Real Madrid II Real Madrid II 2-1 HT 2-1 Villarreal II Villarreal II İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Villarreal II
1-1
AWAY Real Madrid II
59% Ball Possession 41%
11 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Villarreal II vs Real Madrid II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Villarreal II and Real Madrid II shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Villarreal II at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Villarreal II had 59% of the ball to Real Madrid II's 41%, shots finished 11-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Villarreal II and 1.50 for Real Madrid II.

What was the final score of Villarreal II vs Real Madrid II?

Villarreal II 1-1 Real Madrid II in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Villarreal II vs Real Madrid II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Villarreal II win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Villarreal II 43%, draw 31%, Real Madrid II 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Villarreal II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Villarreal II) ✓ Under 2.5
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