Atletico Madrid II 0-1 Antequera — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 7 Sep 2024

📅07/09/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.8
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
24%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.64
Over 2.5
42%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.99
No
55%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.63
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.47
6+ Goals
9%
23.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
18%
2/1
11%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
52%
-6.7pp
31%
Draw
27%
+3.9pp
24%
Away Win
22%
+2.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
57%
+0.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
43%
-0.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
46%
-1.0pp
55%
BTTS No
54%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Madrid II EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Antequera EU Bookmakers 25%
-2% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.88/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.31
+26% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +5%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
348 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Madrid II
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Antequera
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 4
20.01.2024 Antequera Antequera 1-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Madrid II Atletico Madrid II İS3
26.08.2023 Atletico Madrid II Atletico Madrid II 2-0 HT 1-0 Antequera Antequera İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Madrid II
0-1
AWAY Antequera
59% Ball Possession 41%
10 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 1
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Atletico Madrid II vs Antequera
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Antequera nicked a narrow win over Atletico Madrid II 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Atletico Madrid II at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Atletico Madrid II had 59% of the ball to Antequera's 41%, shots finished 10-6.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Atletico Madrid II and 0.50 for Antequera.

What was the final score of Atletico Madrid II vs Antequera?

Atletico Madrid II 0-1 Antequera in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Madrid II vs Antequera?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Madrid II win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Atletico Madrid II 45%, draw 31%, Antequera 24%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Atletico Madrid II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Madrid II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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