Ponferradina 1-0 Unionistas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 7 Sep 2024

📅07/09/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.89
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
31%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.45
Over 2.5
39%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.29
No
55%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.14
2-3 Goals
42%
1.81
4-5 Goals
18%
5.89
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
49%
-10.0pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.2pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+6.7pp
61%
Under 2.5
65%
-3.8pp
39%
Over 2.5
35%
+3.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
40%
+5.7pp
55%
BTTS No
60%
-5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ponferradina EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Unionistas EU Bookmakers 27%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +3%
0.74/0.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/0.75
-19% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +6%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
316 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.0 Crosses 18.0
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ponferradina
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Unionistas
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
10.02.2024 Ponferradina Ponferradina 1-1 HT 1-0 Unionistas Unionistas İS3
18.11.2023 Unionistas Unionistas 0-1 HT 0-0 Ponferradina Ponferradina İS3
POST-MATCH Ponferradina vs Unionistas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ponferradina edged past Unionistas 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 30% / 30%) promised a tight game; Ponferradina found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Ponferradina had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ponferradina and 0.50 for Unionistas.

What was the final score of Ponferradina vs Unionistas?

Ponferradina 1-0 Unionistas in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ponferradina vs Unionistas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ponferradina win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Ponferradina 39%, draw 30%, Unionistas 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ponferradina), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ponferradina) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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