Antequera 1-0 Atletico Madrid II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 20 Jan 2024

📅20/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.0
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
28%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.74
Over 2.5
39%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.88
No
60%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
36%
2.66
2-3 Goals
37%
1.71
4-5 Goals
19%
4.06
6+ Goals
8%
19.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.66 — our 36% vs market 30.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-2.5pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.1pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+1.3pp
61%
Under 2.5
54%
+7.1pp
39%
Over 2.5
46%
-7.1pp
40%
BTTS Yes
49%
-9.4pp
60%
BTTS No
51%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Antequera EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Madrid II EU Bookmakers 30%
-38% / -38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +3%
0.49/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/0.92
-64% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +46% / +36%
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
334 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Antequera
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Atletico Madrid II
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
66% Ball Possession 34%
17 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 3
26.08.2023 Atletico Madrid II Atletico Madrid II 2-0 HT 1-0 Antequera Antequera İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Antequera
1-0
AWAY Atletico Madrid II
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Antequera vs Atletico Madrid II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Antequera nicked a narrow win over Atletico Madrid II 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Antequera as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, Antequera had 49% of the ball to Atletico Madrid II's 51%, shots finished 9-5.

What was the final score of Antequera vs Atletico Madrid II?

Antequera 1-0 Atletico Madrid II in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Antequera vs Atletico Madrid II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Antequera win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Antequera 44%, draw 28%, Atletico Madrid II 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Antequera), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Antequera) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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