Linares Deportivo 2-0 Merida AD — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 20 Jan 2024

📅20/01/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.0
Draw
24%
3.11
Away
32%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.56
Over 2.5
45%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.09
No
55%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.21
2-3 Goals
44%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
5.12
6+ Goals
7%
32.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-1.7pp
24%
Draw
28%
-4.4pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+6.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
60%
-5.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
40%
+5.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.1pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Linares Deportivo EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Merida AD EU Bookmakers 29%
+9% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -2%
1.44/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.26
+6% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -1%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
281 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 220 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Linares Deportivo
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Merida AD
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
26.08.2023 Merida AD Merida AD 1-0 HT 1-0 Linares Deportivo Linares Deportivo İS3
06.05.2023 Merida AD Merida AD 2-1 HT 2-0 Linares Deportivo Linares Deportivo İS3
28.08.2022 Linares Deportivo Linares Deportivo 2-0 HT 2-0 Merida AD Merida AD İS3
POST-MATCH Linares Deportivo vs Merida AD
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Linares Deportivo saw off Merida AD 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Linares Deportivo as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Merida AD led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Linares Deportivo and 1.00 for Merida AD.

What was the final score of Linares Deportivo vs Merida AD?

Linares Deportivo 2-0 Merida AD in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Linares Deportivo vs Merida AD?

Before kick-off our model rated a Linares Deportivo win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Linares Deportivo 44%, draw 24%, Merida AD 32%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Linares Deportivo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Linares Deportivo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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