UD Ibiza 3-0 Merida AD — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 26 Jan 2025

📅26/01/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.9
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
27%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.6
Over 2.5
40%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.03
No
56%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.39
2-3 Goals
39%
1.72
4-5 Goals
19%
4.44
6+ Goals
8%
24.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
48%
-5.4pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.8pp
27%
Away Win
23%
+3.7pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.7pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
45%
-0.9pp
56%
BTTS No
55%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UD Ibiza EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Merida AD EU Bookmakers 27%
-12% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -19%
0.99/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.60
-33% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -21%
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
392 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 230 · 67%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UD Ibiza
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Merida AD
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
21.09.2024 Merida AD Merida AD 1-0 HT 0-0 UD Ibiza UD Ibiza İS3
25.02.2024 UD Ibiza UD Ibiza 0-0 HT 0-0 Merida AD Merida AD İS3
05.11.2023 Merida AD Merida AD 1-2 HT 0-1 UD Ibiza UD Ibiza İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UD Ibiza
3-0
AWAY Merida AD
61% Ball Possession 39%
12 Total Shots 3
5 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH UD Ibiza vs Merida AD
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UD Ibiza swept aside Merida AD 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had UD Ibiza as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (60%) missed.

On the day, UD Ibiza had 61% of the ball to Merida AD's 39%, shots finished 12-3.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for UD Ibiza and 0.67 for Merida AD.

What was the final score of UD Ibiza vs Merida AD?

UD Ibiza 3-0 Merida AD in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 26/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UD Ibiza vs Merida AD?

Before kick-off our model rated a UD Ibiza win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split UD Ibiza 43%, draw 30%, Merida AD 27%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (UD Ibiza), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (UD Ibiza) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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