Merida AD 1-0 UD Ibiza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.53
Draw
25%
3.04
Away
38%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.52
Over 2.5
42%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.06
No
58%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.27
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
18%
5.39
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
17%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
36%
+1.2pp
25%
Draw
30%
-4.9pp
38%
Away Win
35%
+3.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.2pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Merida AD EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY UD Ibiza EU Bookmakers 38%
-5% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +8%
1.04/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/0.55
-8% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +94%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
288 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Merida AD
0W-1D-1L
AWAY UD Ibiza
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
42% Ball Possession 57%
6 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
25.02.2024 UD Ibiza UD Ibiza 0-0 HT 0-0 Merida AD Merida AD İS3
05.11.2023 Merida AD Merida AD 1-2 HT 0-1 UD Ibiza UD Ibiza İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Merida AD
1-0
AWAY UD Ibiza
46% Ball Possession 54%
15 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Merida AD vs UD Ibiza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Merida AD squeezed past UD Ibiza 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 25% / 38% — and on the day Merida AD made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Merida AD had 46% of the ball to UD Ibiza's 54%, shots finished 15-11.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, UD Ibiza led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Merida AD and 1.00 for UD Ibiza.

What was the final score of Merida AD vs UD Ibiza?

Merida AD 1-0 UD Ibiza in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Merida AD vs UD Ibiza?

Before kick-off our model rated an UD Ibiza win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Merida AD 37%, draw 25%, UD Ibiza 38%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (UD Ibiza) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (UD Ibiza) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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