Hercules 2-0 Real Murcia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.46
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
35%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.56
Over 2.5
44%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.99
No
50%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.38
2-3 Goals
44%
1.78
4-5 Goals
16%
5.06
6+ Goals
8%
30.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
21%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
37%
-2.3pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.5pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+1.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
60%
-4.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
40%
+4.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
46%
+3.3pp
50%
BTTS No
54%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hercules EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Murcia EU Bookmakers 37%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +20%
1.51/0.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/0.73
+34% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +46%
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
229 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hercules
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Real Murcia
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 8
5 Yellow Cards 3
10.04.2022 Real Murcia Real Murcia 1-1 HT 0-1 Hercules Hercules İS4
21.11.2021 Hercules Hercules 3-0 HT 1-0 Real Murcia Real Murcia İS4
15.08.2018 Hercules Hercules 2-1 HT 1-0 Real Murcia Real Murcia HAZ
09.08.2017 Real Murcia Real Murcia 2-0 HT 1-0 Hercules Hercules HAZ
15.08.2015 Real Murcia Real Murcia 1-2 HT 1-2 Hercules Hercules HAZ
03.05.2014 Hercules Hercules 2-3 HT 1-1 Real Murcia Real Murcia İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hercules
2-0
AWAY Real Murcia
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 9
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hercules vs Real Murcia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hercules saw off Real Murcia 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 30% / 35% — and on the day Hercules made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Hercules had 44% of the ball to Real Murcia's 56%, shots finished 10-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hercules had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Hercules and 1.33 for Real Murcia.

What was the final score of Hercules vs Real Murcia?

Hercules 2-0 Real Murcia in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hercules vs Real Murcia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hercules win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Hercules 35%, draw 30%, Real Murcia 35%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/30/35) ✓ Under 2.5
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