Ponferradina 1-0 FC Andorra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 26 Jan 2025

📅26/01/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.18
Draw
28%
2.88
Away
28%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.48
Over 2.5
42%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.13
No
58%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.08
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
5.34
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
17%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
42%
+2.5pp
28%
Draw
31%
-3.0pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+0.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
64%
-6.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
36%
+6.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
43%
-0.8pp
58%
BTTS No
57%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ponferradina EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Andorra EU Bookmakers 31%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -11%
1.12/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.52
-12% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -17%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
356 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.0 Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ponferradina
0W-1D-2L
AWAY FC Andorra
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
0.53 xG 1.72
35% Ball Possession 65%
11 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
213 Passes 602
77% Pass Accuracy 92%
16 Box Touches 24
11 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 0
15.09.2024 FC Andorra FC Andorra 1-1 HT 1-0 Ponferradina Ponferradina İS3
22.04.2023 Ponferradina Ponferradina 1-4 HT 0-2 FC Andorra FC Andorra İS2
29.10.2022 FC Andorra FC Andorra 3-0 HT 2-0 Ponferradina Ponferradina İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ponferradina
1-0
AWAY FC Andorra
37% Ball Possession 63%
11 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ponferradina vs FC Andorra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ponferradina nicked a narrow win over FC Andorra 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ponferradina as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Ponferradina had 37% of the ball to FC Andorra's 63%, shots finished 11-20.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, FC Andorra led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Ponferradina and 2.67 for FC Andorra.

What was the final score of Ponferradina vs FC Andorra?

Ponferradina 1-0 FC Andorra in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 26/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ponferradina vs FC Andorra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ponferradina win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Ponferradina 44%, draw 28%, FC Andorra 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ponferradina), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ponferradina) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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