Amorebieta 0-1 Gimnastic Tarragona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 8 Sep 2024

📅08/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.8
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
33%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.44
Over 2.5
35%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.27
No
59%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2.01
2-3 Goals
40%
1.84
4-5 Goals
15%
6.55
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
17%
2/1
11%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
32%
+3.9pp
31%
Draw
31%
+0.1pp
33%
Away Win
37%
-4.0pp
65%
Under 2.5
66%
-1.1pp
35%
Over 2.5
34%
+1.1pp
41%
BTTS Yes
40%
+0.8pp
59%
BTTS No
60%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Amorebieta EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Gimnastic Tarragona EU Bookmakers 40%
+15% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -2%
1.12/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/0.76
+7% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / +40%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
268 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 12.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Amorebieta
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Gimnastic Tarragona
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 0
20.05.2023 Amorebieta Amorebieta 1-1 HT 1-1 Gimnastic Tarragona Gimnastic Tarragona İS3
25.09.2022 Gimnastic Tarragona Gimnastic Tarragona 1-0 HT 1-0 Amorebieta Amorebieta İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Amorebieta
0-1
AWAY Gimnastic Tarragona
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Amorebieta vs Gimnastic Tarragona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimnastic Tarragona edged past Amorebieta 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 31% / 33% — and on the day Gimnastic Tarragona made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Amorebieta had 60% of the ball to Gimnastic Tarragona's 40%, shots finished 12-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Gimnastic Tarragona led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Amorebieta and 1.00 for Gimnastic Tarragona.

What was the final score of Amorebieta vs Gimnastic Tarragona?

Amorebieta 0-1 Gimnastic Tarragona in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 08/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Amorebieta vs Gimnastic Tarragona?

Before kick-off our model rated a Amorebieta win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Amorebieta 36%, draw 31%, Gimnastic Tarragona 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Amorebieta) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Amorebieta) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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