Alcoyano 0-3 Real Murcia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 8 Sep 2024

Alcoyano
0-3 HT 0-1
Real Murcia
📅08/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division B – 2024/2025

Alcoyano vs Real Murcia Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.47
Draw
30%
2.88
Away
34%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.41
Over 2.5
36%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.27
No
59%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
1.98
2-3 Goals
42%
1.85
4-5 Goals
15%
6.71
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-0.4pp
30%
Draw
31%
-1.2pp
34%
Away Win
32%
+1.6pp
64%
Under 2.5
67%
-3.0pp
36%
Over 2.5
33%
+3.0pp
41%
BTTS Yes
40%
+0.8pp
59%
BTTS No
60%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Alcoyano v Real Murcia — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alcoyano EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Murcia EU Bookmakers 36%
-5% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +24%
0.99/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/0.82
-13% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +36%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
274 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.9

Alcoyano vs Real Murcia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alcoyano
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Real Murcia
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
44% Ball Possession 56%
6 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
10.02.2024 Alcoyano Alcoyano 2-3 HT 1-2 Real Murcia Real Murcia İS3
01.10.2023 Real Murcia Real Murcia 0-0 HT 0-0 Alcoyano Alcoyano İS3
20.05.2023 Alcoyano Alcoyano 1-2 HT 0-0 Real Murcia Real Murcia İS3
04.12.2022 Real Murcia Real Murcia 1-0 HT 1-0 Alcoyano Alcoyano İS3
18.08.2018 Real Murcia Real Murcia 1-0 HT 0-0 Alcoyano Alcoyano HAZ
05.08.2017 Alcoyano Alcoyano 0-1 HT 0-0 Real Murcia Real Murcia HAZ

Alcoyano 0-3 Real Murcia — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alcoyano
0-3
AWAY Real Murcia
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Alcoyano vs Real Murcia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Murcia cruised past Alcoyano 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (36% / 30% / 34%) promised a tight game; Real Murcia found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, no to both teams scoring (59%) landed while under 2.5 goals (64%) missed.

On the day, Alcoyano had 52% of the ball to Real Murcia's 48%, shots finished 10-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Murcia led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Alcoyano and 1.33 for Real Murcia.

What was the final score of Alcoyano vs Real Murcia?

Alcoyano 0-3 Real Murcia in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 08/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alcoyano vs Real Murcia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alcoyano win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Alcoyano 36%, draw 30%, Real Murcia 34%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Alcoyano), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alcoyano) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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